• khannie@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    I happened to be in my mother’s house when she called me to look at it live and there was zero mention on CNN of whether or not he would serve time over it. Sentencing in July.

    Anyone know likelihood of jail time?

    • mosiacmango@lemm.ee
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      4 months ago

      Cohen served time for this exact same crime in the exact same state. I think he was sentenced to 3 years and did 1.5 due to covid early release. That was also his first felony.

      It’s fully possible he gets jail time.

      • AFK BRB Chocolate@lemmy.world
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        4 months ago

        This needs to be brought up every damned time this subject comes up. Cohen served time for the exact same crime - so what argument is there that Trump shouldn’t?

      • Buffalox@lemmy.world
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        4 months ago

        100%, how is this not more significant when people guess whether or not Trump will serve time? Cohen got jail time for this, and he turned himself in, and cooperated.

        Trump did nothing redeeming, and he was the guy giving the orders, how is it even conceivable that Trump should be punished less?

    • ricecake@sh.itjust.works
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      4 months ago

      If one is being objective and not paying attention to his former job or publicity, he’s a first time offender convicted of non-violent offenses with a business footprint that makes him low risk for probation violation.
      He would also place a burden on the penal system if incarcerated, and his current state of having round the clock law enforcement presence further lowers the likelihood that he goes to prison.

      On the flip side, he has done a lot to actively antagonize the person who will be mostly in charge of his fate, and he’s got a good month to build a body of evidence that says he’ll immediately disrespect probation.

      So almost certainly not, but it’s not as close to zero as you would expect for a former president.

    • SanguinePar@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      Slim chance. It’s his first offence (first conviction anyway) and a non violent crime. Can’t see the judge jailing him, especially given the logistics involved with the Secret Service having to protect him.

    • thirteene@lemmy.world
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      4 months ago

      My understanding is that we will see an appeal before sentencing on July 11th. If that is not successful, then he will get anything from a slap on the wrist to jail time. Sentencing is likely going to hinge on if he remains the lead Republican candidate. Jail time is going to have a lot of custom rules and exeptions that we are unprepared for; primarily secret secret protection.

      https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/trump-jury-deliberations-watch-1.7218775 conviction section

    • Ioughttamow@kbin.run
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      4 months ago

      I’m not counting on jail time (though I can dream!). Just parroting an oft used law and order conservative catchphrase

    • NuXCOM_90Percent@lemmy.zip
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      4 months ago

      Basically zero. Even if it wasn’t a political/social crisis to put him in prison, he is a white guy who did a non-violent crime.

      The most he would get would be house arrest. Which he would instantly violate.

      • dragontamer@lemmy.world
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        4 months ago

        What, like Martha Stewart?

        White pepo go to jail all the time, even elderly, grandmotherly types.