Few milestones in life mean as much to the American Dream as owning a home. And millennials have encountered the kind of trouble totally befitting their generation, which largely graduated into the teeth of the disastrous post-2008 job market. Just as they entered peak homebuying and household formation age, housing affordability is at 40-year lows, and mortgage rates are near 40-year highs.
The anxiety this generation feels about the prospect of never owning their own home affects their entire perception of their finances and the economy, says Moody’s chief economist Mark Zandi.
“If they feel like they’re locked out of owning a home it colors their perceptions about everything else going on in their financial lives,” Zandi says.
Millennials have long been dogged by a brutal housing market. They faced not one, but two, cataclysmic economic events—the Great Financial Crisis in 2008 and the pandemic in 2020. Both of which left them reeling financially and struggling to afford a home. The Great Recession decimated the real estate market as the economy nearly collapsed under the weight of tenuous mortgage backed securities. While the pandemic brought with it a remote work boom that caused millions of citydwellers to flee to the suburbs, sending housing prices soaring.
For those downvoting, the most effective lies always have some truth to them.
Honestly the biggest reason they can’t afford housing is because the majority don’t know how to budget and/or stick to it. This goes for a large amount of the poor as well. They’re constantly spending their money on consumables and other non-wealth building things. In the US, as a society, we’ve done a shit job of teaching our kids this valuable lesson, pun intended.
Doesn’t mean the value of the dollar isn’t lower than it has been in a while and that mortgage rates aren’t high (they aren’t the highest, by the way; it was at ~12% in the 90s). That food prices aren’t insane and that corporations aren’t taking advantage and jacking up their margins, they are.
If the system isn’t working for the majority, maybe it’s the system that’s flawed rather than individuals?
It is working for the majority is the thing. Most people have jobs, food on the table, and a roof over their head.
The people not well off are at a local maxima, sure, but way more than 50% of people have a comfortable life here in the west, so the system is working for most people.
It’s a tough pill to swallow, as much as life sucjs here in the west, it’s still a fuck tonne better than many other way way way shittier countries out there. US and Canada are still in the top 20% of places to live in the world.
If you look at the current state of society and think “things are working well for the majority of people” I’m not sure we’ll be able to engage in any meaningful discussion.
It literally is working for the majority of people mate, however you feel about it, poverty is the very small minority.
I would love to make poverty even less of an issue in the west, dont get me wrong, but the average person is fed, has a roof over their head, has a job, and is getting by.
Homelessness, poverty, illness, etc is a minority and that literally means the average person is not in that group.
Literally by definition, the average person is not the minority. That’s what the average means…
Poverty doesn’t refer exclusively to homeless people.
I had to come back to this comment just to point out that this isn’t the definition of “average” and the “average” person could very well be in the minority depending on what we’re measuring (and which measure of central tendency we’re referring to when we say “average”).
As an example: The mean number of limbs for humans is lower than 4. However, the overwhelming majority of humans have four limbs.
Irrelevant - people who already own their homes, and people who already locked in mortgage rates in the past are not the topic of discussion here.
Rather, even people who are diligent are losing hope that a home will be within reach, due to all the factors under discussion. Also, diligent people who cannot afford a home NOW are having to shell out rent, rather than build up equity, which isn’t helping their future situation.
A better argument might be “the housing market undergoes swings, and you just have to wait it out, the same as past generations had to do”. However, there are several indicators that point to the fact that people in younger generations are not living life as high as was done previously - and there are many reasons for that, some intrinsic, some external such as globalization and automation - but regardless, the fact is that they have less hope than people in past generations.
And I am not certain that they should? Hope in what, based on what evidence - that the major Powers That Be, which secularly are what, the Presidency, Congress, and the Supreme Court as part of government, and outside of that, Corporations? Will the dawn of AI fix everything?
Please check your privilege: life in the Western world is only better than many third world nations for those who have money. For those who do not, it is significantly worse.
Factually false mate.
The west has enormous infrastructure for people, welfare programs, shelters, upskilling programs, anti-poverty measures, etc.
Do you actually think someone without money in a third world country is better off than someone without money in the United States?
That’s wild if you do. I can’t imagine what a sheltered life a person has to lead to think that a homeless person in Mexico, or North Korea, or Russia, etc etc, is actually living a better life than a homeless person in the US…
Wild.
I do not expect you to believe me - this world would be a far better place if people were not so naive and actually looked at facts. Also, I doubt my ability to convey things well, or accurately, but to give you a start at least: take a look at the stats for, lets say, infant mortality. They are rather wild. Also visit an inner city: the lack of medical care in particular is shocking. I am not shitting you, but doctors organizations have literally started sending teams here to the USA, particularly in the southwestern areas near the border. One of the more interesting data points is the percentage of vaccinated people: some citizens of a third-world nation might literally kill for a vaccine, whereas here in the USA people snub their noses and refused to take it even when it was free.
Mate you understand that literally having a hospital at all already puts one in the top 50% out if the gate, right?
Quick litmus test:
If you take a shower in water you can drink, you are in the top 20% worldwide. If you can fill your water bottle up at a tap, you are in the top 20%.
I volunteer at a homeless shelter on weekends and literally just the incredulous reaction some folks had when they same me casually refill my water bottle from the tap really firmly reminded me where some people are at from other countries.
We wash our hands casually with water we can also drink.
That is incredible wealth on the global scale
Palestinians right now are drinking literal sewage to survive.
I shower and can open my mouth and gargle the water coming out of that shower head.
On the global scale, the very fact you are posting on this Lemmy instance means you are in the global 1%.
It could be better, bit by God it ca be a billion times worse too, so I try and always keep perspective on that when I see doom posting about how it sucks so bad that millenials don’t all get to own individual mcmansions like boomers got to.
First, thank you SO MUCH for your personal service. This should never devolve into a mere academic issue, to win fake points in some impersonal debate with someone online that will never meet irl. But if it was that, then you are definitey winning in the boots-on-the-ground sense, and I for one think that’s so freaking awesome!:-P
Yeah I do not know everything, I just know what I read, e.g. https://www.ajmc.com/view/us-has-highest-infant-maternal-mortality-rates-despite-the-most-health-care-spending. Ofc not every place world-wide is the same, and not every place in the USA is the same either, though I find it highly troubling that not just one but many places inside the USA has an infant mortality rate worst than SOME (though not all) nations that are considered “third-world” (e.g. https://www.uhhospitals.org/blog/articles/2019/04/addressing-the-health-crisis-of-black-maternal-death-and-infant-mortality, and this was even from several years ago before the recent data - COVID? - pushed our ranking down from 32 to 51st).
Though details aside, yes it could always be worse, I cannot argue with you there:-). Mostly I think it means that we should not pat ourselves on the back saying “good job, America!” b/c there’s so much that remains to be done. But also, I don’t see how telling people who are grieving the loss of their futures that it can always get much worse is going to help? Then again, we are only dancing around semantics here - regardless of how it is phrased or handled, I do agree that we need to adjust our expectations moving forward, and opening our eyes to check our first-world privileges is a fantastic start to that:-).
This is a valid concern, and it’s true you can measure QoL on a variety of different metrics.
I’d be really curious to know by what the infant mortality rate is so high in the US specifically, what’s killing them by comparison?
Cuz I know their Healthcare statement isn’t great but still, it’s hard to imagine it’s doing that bad, is another factor at play? Their poverty isn’t bad enough to explain it, and I dunno if gun violence plays a huge role for infant deaths (child and teen deaths though, absolutely)
What’s the cutoff for infant? Old enough for guns to start factoring in, cuz that’s a serious issue on its own as well.
How does one budget their way out when the mortgage for a median priced house exceeds half your take-home pay for the month for a median household income?
Median home price in Sept: $412,000 Median household income 2022 (latest census data): $74,580 Today’s 30-year fixed rate mortgage rate est.: 7.30% Down payment assumption 10%.
So your monthly payment would be $3,121.60 while your monthly income before taxes is $6,215.
You’re spending well over half of your take-home pay after tax just on the mortgage payment for a typical household buying a typically priced house, which is not affordable even in this extremely generous example that ignores all other fees, insurance, and the fact that you’re on the hook to maintain that property.
Budget your way out of that?
Not trying to buy a small mansion as your starter home is a good place to start lol.
You do know what the median home is, right?
(Hint, the median priced vehicle, to compare to a similar market, is aprox a brand new off the lot sports car)
You are looking at the 50% mark, starter homes are in the bottom 20%, and it’s an exponential curve too.
This is just the “everyone is buying avocado toast” argument which is a rebranded “everyone is buying smartphones” argument. Budgeting isn’t going to turn your $30k yearly pay into a $30k down payment and $2,000 PITI payment
Boomer take.
That’s cool. I’m not a boomer.
Boomer response
A boomer take is, pick yourself by your bootstraps. I didn’t say anything close to that nor do I believe it. It takes a support system, even if it’s one person, to get out of a gutter.
Try something with a better argument than a low effort single sentence. You’re embarrassing yourself.
No, you basically said “stop eating avacado toast and make your coffee at home.”
Ok, boomer.
If you wanna be reductive and lack reading comprehension, sure.
Those wealth building things are vehicles of exploitation. Someone has to be the neck getting stepped on as it stands
Everyone is able to be exploited no matter status.
Who’s exploiting Zuckerberg?
This is a lie and you’ve been manipulated. I’ve seen poverty and watched people starve themselves skinny for savings. There are individual differences and if your differences make you useless to the economy (where you aren’t coerced into seperating from your money for your health) then that’s absolutely fantastic for you. But please don’t chime in to preach at people who are starving thanks.
Not everyone who is poor is starving. The vast majority aren’t.
“Come on, people, some of the poors are still fat!”
Your attitude is beyond despicable.
Words of someone who has never had a real relationship with someone financially struggling. I could explain the small accumulation of hardships such as medical, transport, food, rent, gas, electricity expenses and the psychological impact it has but idk if you are at the stage of life where you can swallow that properly.
I work with several people and have worked with many people that are financially struggling and they all have the same thing in common, which I’ve already outlined.
I’m not trying to say that you aren’t in a different boat but that doesn’t mean your experience is the same as all those who are poor either.
I hope you find the support you need to help you out of whatever situation you find yourself not able to get out of. We obviously aren’t going to have the same perspective.
You might not be starving while living paycheck to paycheck as nearly half of all Americans are currently, but make no mistake, you are poor.
I’ve been saving my cash for over a decade in hopes of buying a house someday, and it’s still not realistic for me to purchase one right now. The line just keeps getting further and further away. I’ve done everything “right” according to you, yet it’s still not getting me any closer to ownership.
We need government to step in and help us. This problem isn’t going to go away just by having everyone tighten their belts and save for a year or two. It’s going to require a massive legislative sweep to overhaul the system in favor of owner occupants and not investment hedge funds.