Only Bayes Can Judge Me

  • 13 Posts
  • 407 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: July 4th, 2023

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  • 10^27 future lives

    Ok here’s my Rat fermi-time traveller party paradox, in short, the Rat FTTP paradox.

    1. According to Rat doctrine, many worlds is true and science is amazing and will solve all problems eventually.
    2. Lack of time travel is a problem, meaning in some world, eventually there will be time travel, by 1.
    3. Lack of 10^27 people is a problem*, so we will also have that, also by 1.

    The paradox: If time travel is so easy and there will be so many future lives, where are all the future rats?

    No seriously, where are they? This FTTP orgy was supposed to start 24 hours ago.



  • Years ago a friend of mine asked me if I was interested in IoT/smart devices and I said I didn’t want to be locked out of my house if the wifi was out. His reaction indicated to me that he lost some amount of respect for me, and in turn I lost respect for him.

    Since then I’ve only really seen IoT stuff in the homes of tech people, everyone else just DGAF. I think AI is following that same trajectory.

    PS Years later pretty much the same exchange happened with brain simulated “immortality”, with the same mutual loss of respect.

    PPS I currently have some smart lights installed. Once the initial novelty of having a bunch of RGB lights wore off, I pretty much just use them as normal bulbs, except with their brightness turned all the way down.

    PPPS I also have some google speakers. None of them are in use.






  • CW: Palestine-Israel.

    Something I’ve observed is various members of the rats being zionist/pro-israel/anti-palestine. This doesn’t really surprise me, but that’s not what I’m commenting on.

    One topic that occasionally gets discussed is Israel’s use of “AI” in warfare. I’m only going to link one source and I’m not going into it too deeply.

    So what I’m wondering is: this seems to pattern match to one of the great AI doom narratives, ie. of AGI* being given control of military assets; where is the rationalist outrage? I searched Lesswrong for mentions of Israel and the IDF but turned up empty handed.

    To be clear: this is a request for submissions. I am not rhetorically sneering at what I am perceiving as a hypocritical lack of outrage, to do so would require proof. That being said it’s probably clear from this comment that my mind is constructing that narrative.

    *of course I am not saying that whatever the IDF is saying is AI is AGI, as AGI is not real.