I haven’t thought about this aspect of AI nearly as much, just because I spend a lot of time thinking about writing code and very little time thinking about macroeconomics. But I think you’re probably right to be worried, especially with the hype explosion caused by ChatGPT. I think ChatGPT is nigh-useless in a real practical sense, but it may work very well for the purpose of making OpenAI money. They’ve announced partnerships with huge consulting firms. It’s easy to imagine it as this engine of making money for corporations based mostly on its perceived amazing capabilities, without actually improving the world in any way. Consulting is already a cesspool of huge sums of capital that accomplishes nothing (I work in consulting). ChatGPT is perfect for accelerating that. It’s also worth pointing out how these latest models like GPT require ungodly amounts of data and compute—you have to be obscenely rich to create them.
I haven’t thought about this aspect of AI nearly as much, just because I spend a lot of time thinking about writing code and very little time thinking about macroeconomics. But I think you’re probably right to be worried, especially with the hype explosion caused by ChatGPT. I think ChatGPT is nigh-useless in a real practical sense, but it may work very well for the purpose of making OpenAI money. They’ve announced partnerships with huge consulting firms. It’s easy to imagine it as this engine of making money for corporations based mostly on its perceived amazing capabilities, without actually improving the world in any way. Consulting is already a cesspool of huge sums of capital that accomplishes nothing (I work in consulting). ChatGPT is perfect for accelerating that. It’s also worth pointing out how these latest models like GPT require ungodly amounts of data and compute—you have to be obscenely rich to create them.