Stand for America Fund Inc, a super PAC that supports Nikki Haley, reported on Thursday that it has raised $50.1 million in the second half of 2023 — millions more than Trump-aligned super PAC MAGA Inc., which reported over $46 million.
There are no details from these numbers yet, which were reported by the New York Times, as the Federal Election Commission filing deadline is only Jan. 31.
When it comes to MAGA Inc.'s funds, the super PAC ended the year with over $23 million in cash on hand, according to reports — and counted with over a dozen donors who contributed with $1 million or more.
First off, ignore the betting markets. They had Trump winning in 2020, too. The kind of people who put money on this stuff aren’t the clear-headed, rational sort.
Second, the polls are broken right now. They’ve been consistently under-counting Democratic votes for years, due to the difficulty of conducting scientifically sound polls in the age of cellphones and the death of land-lines. Seriously, look at polling for the special elections and midterms since 2018 - it’s practically homogenous. In election after election, Democrats overperformed the polls.
I’m not saying we don’t have to fight like hell - we absolutely do. But we don’t have to lose hope, especially with almost a year to go before the first general election ballots are cast.
Vote like it’s a possibility Trump will win, and vote like it’s a certainty that you can stop him.
Broken is a stretch but we do know which way they leaned and that’s not a good sign considering Biden’s numbers were overstated.
https://www.pewresearch.org/methods/2021/03/02/what-2020s-election-poll-errors-tell-us-about-the-accuracy-of-issue-polling/
It’s not hopeless but the margins are thin, Trump won by 77,000 votes in 2016 and lost by 81,000 in 2020. Biden doesn’t have a lot of slack to play with and he’s going to be hit hard from all sides including his own thanks to 10/7.
Between inflation, “the border”, Ukraine funding, Israel and every country with a vested interest against America influencing people online more than ever before it’s gearing up to be a disaster.