• mojofrododojo@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    One in every 20 rolls is a nat 20

    …no, no. this is not how probability works, even if it should seem to given the way we describe the odds.

    • starman2112@sh.itjust.works
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      2 months ago

      On average. On average. On average!

      One in every 20 rolls is a nat 20, ON AVERAGE. That’s how probability works. Are you happy now that I corrected it? Was it worth leaving the most pedantic comment on the entire internet?

      • mojofrododojo@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        On average.

        yes, that’s the important part the OP left out. You stated

        One in every 20 rolls is a nat 20

        this is incorrect.

        • starman2112@sh.itjust.works
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          2 months ago

          You’re right, it’s only roughly one in every 20 rolls. It’s only almost precisely one in every 20 rolls. It’s only a 5% chance, which some would say is literally synonymous with “one in every 20 rolls,” which isn’t strictly true, because it’s possible to have more or less than one natural 20 in any run of 20 rolls, because it’s only one in every 20 rolls on average.

          I’ve been arguing about the portal paradox all day and these comments have gotten on my nerves more than anyone trying to explain to me that the cube isn’t moving

          • mojofrododojo@lemmy.world
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            2 months ago

            You’re right, it’s only roughly one in every 20 rolls. It’s only almost precisely one in every 20 rolls. It’s only a 5% chance, which some would say is literally synonymous with “one in every 20 rolls,” which isn’t strictly true, because it’s possible to have more or less than one natural 20 in any run of 20 rolls, because it’s only one in every 20 rolls on average.

            Glad we can agree.