Alright, now that 538 is back online, do we have any takes as to how accurate we think it is?

Is it spot on or reasonable? Or, is it still ridiculously wrong the way it was prior to Biden dropping?

Edit 3: unpinning this comment because it’s out of date.

With the US 2024 Presidential Election between sitting President Joseph R. Biden presumptive democrat nominee and sitting Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald J. Trump coming up on November 5th, I figured I would feature 538’s polling in the community. It is updated every few hours with new polling data.

Consider this the 538 Megathread.

Edit: Sitting President Joe Biden suspended his candidacy as of July 19th, 2024. He will speak more about his reasons later this week, and he has endorsed his Vice President, Kamala Harris, to succeed him.

538 still shows Biden as the democrats presumptive nominee, but I expect that will change soon.

Edit 2: As of July 21 at 2 p.m. Eastern, President Joe Biden has suspended his campaign for the 2024 Democratic Party nomination for president. 538 will publish an election forecast including the new presumptive Democratic nominee, when such nominee is announced.

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