copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 2 months agoNate Silver joins prediction market startup as more people bet on newsplus-squarewww.axios.comexternal-linkmessage-square1fedilinkarrow-up19arrow-down12
arrow-up17arrow-down1external-linkNate Silver joins prediction market startup as more people bet on newsplus-squarewww.axios.comcopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 2 months agomessage-square1fedilink
copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 2 months agoForecasting is mostly vibes. So is expertiseplus-squarenathanpmyoung.substack.comexternal-linkmessage-square0fedilinkarrow-up17arrow-down12
arrow-up15arrow-down1external-linkForecasting is mostly vibes. So is expertiseplus-squarenathanpmyoung.substack.comcopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 2 months agomessage-square0fedilink
copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 3 months agoYou don’t need to worry about which distribution to use any moreplus-squareriskacademy.blogexternal-linkmessage-square0fedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down12
arrow-up11arrow-down1external-linkYou don’t need to worry about which distribution to use any moreplus-squareriskacademy.blogcopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 3 months agomessage-square0fedilink
copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 3 months agoStudent loan forecasts for England, Financial year 2023-24plus-squareexplore-education-statistics.service.gov.ukexternal-linkmessage-square0fedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down10
arrow-up13arrow-down1external-linkStudent loan forecasts for England, Financial year 2023-24plus-squareexplore-education-statistics.service.gov.ukcopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 3 months agomessage-square0fedilink
copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 3 months agoInteractive Brokers (IBKR) arm unveils forecast contractswww.nasdaq.comexternal-linkmessage-square0fedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down10
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkInteractive Brokers (IBKR) arm unveils forecast contractswww.nasdaq.comcopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 3 months agomessage-square0fedilink
copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 3 months agoSwift Centre’s UK General Election Forecastsplus-squareswiftcentre.substack.comexternal-linkmessage-square0fedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down10
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkSwift Centre’s UK General Election Forecastsplus-squareswiftcentre.substack.comcopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 3 months agomessage-square0fedilink
copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 4 months agoOpen Sourcing Metaculusplus-squarewww.metaculus.comexternal-linkmessage-square0fedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down10
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkOpen Sourcing Metaculusplus-squarewww.metaculus.comcopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 4 months agomessage-square0fedilink
copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 4 months agoDecoding SCOTUS: Navigating Media Bias in Supreme Court Forecastingplus-squaregoodjudgment.substack.comexternal-linkmessage-square0fedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down10
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkDecoding SCOTUS: Navigating Media Bias in Supreme Court Forecastingplus-squaregoodjudgment.substack.comcopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 4 months agomessage-square0fedilink
copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 4 months agoManifold Creator Partner Programplus-squarenews.manifold.marketsexternal-linkmessage-square1fedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down11
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkManifold Creator Partner Programplus-squarenews.manifold.marketscopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 4 months agomessage-square1fedilink
copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 4 months agoHigher-Order Forecastsplus-squarequantifieduncertainty.orgexternal-linkmessage-square0fedilinkarrow-up14arrow-down10
arrow-up14arrow-down1external-linkHigher-Order Forecastsplus-squarequantifieduncertainty.orgcopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 4 months agomessage-square0fedilink
copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 4 months agoWhy prediction markets aren’t popularplus-squareworksinprogress.coexternal-linkmessage-square1fedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down11
arrow-up11arrow-down1external-linkWhy prediction markets aren’t popularplus-squareworksinprogress.cocopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 4 months agomessage-square1fedilink
copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 5 months agoPeter Thiel's Founders Fund, Vitalik Buterin Back $45M Investment in Polymarketplus-squarewww.coindesk.comexternal-linkmessage-square0fedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down10
arrow-up12arrow-down1external-linkPeter Thiel's Founders Fund, Vitalik Buterin Back $45M Investment in Polymarketplus-squarewww.coindesk.comcopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 5 months agomessage-square0fedilink
copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 5 months agoMantic Monday 5/13/24plus-squarewww.astralcodexten.comexternal-linkmessage-square0fedilinkarrow-up13arrow-down10
arrow-up13arrow-down1external-linkMantic Monday 5/13/24plus-squarewww.astralcodexten.comcopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 5 months agomessage-square0fedilink
copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 5 months agoGovernment to Ban All US Election Bettingplus-squarewww.maximumtruth.orgexternal-linkmessage-square2fedilinkarrow-up120arrow-down14
arrow-up116arrow-down1external-linkGovernment to Ban All US Election Bettingplus-squarewww.maximumtruth.orgcopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 5 months agomessage-square2fedilink
copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 5 months agoAlert minutes for week #17/2024 on highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1plus-squareforecasting.substack.comexternal-linkmessage-square0fedilinkarrow-up16arrow-down10
arrow-up16arrow-down1external-linkAlert minutes for week #17/2024 on highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1plus-squareforecasting.substack.comcopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 5 months agomessage-square0fedilink
copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 5 months agoThe State of Forecasting: Dynamics, Challenges, Hopesplus-squareforecasting.substack.comexternal-linkmessage-square0fedilinkarrow-up14arrow-down10
arrow-up14arrow-down1external-linkThe State of Forecasting: Dynamics, Challenges, Hopesplus-squareforecasting.substack.comcopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 5 months agomessage-square0fedilink
copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 5 months agoManifold is exploring real cash prizes, requiring economic changesplus-squaremanifoldmarkets.notion.siteexternal-linkmessage-square0fedilinkarrow-up11arrow-down10
arrow-up11arrow-down1external-linkManifold is exploring real cash prizes, requiring economic changesplus-squaremanifoldmarkets.notion.sitecopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 5 months agomessage-square0fedilink
copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 5 months agoMeet computer scientist and Superforecaster® Elan Pavlovplus-squaregoodjudgment.comexternal-linkmessage-square0fedilinkarrow-up14arrow-down11
arrow-up13arrow-down1external-linkMeet computer scientist and Superforecaster® Elan Pavlovplus-squaregoodjudgment.comcopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 5 months agomessage-square0fedilink
copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 6 months agoTrump or Biden? The Stock Market Doesn’t Care.plus-squarewww.nytimes.comexternal-linkmessage-square0fedilinkarrow-up12arrow-down16
arrow-up1-4arrow-down1external-linkTrump or Biden? The Stock Market Doesn’t Care.plus-squarewww.nytimes.comcopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 6 months agomessage-square0fedilink
copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 6 months agoPredictions Scorecard, 2024 January 01 – Rodney Brooksplus-squarerodneybrooks.comexternal-linkmessage-square0fedilinkarrow-up15arrow-down11
arrow-up14arrow-down1external-linkPredictions Scorecard, 2024 January 01 – Rodney Brooksplus-squarerodneybrooks.comcopacetic@discuss.tchncs.deMEnglish · 6 months agomessage-square0fedilink